The mainstream media as well as countless neoliberal bloggers have left Donald Trump’s election bid for dead. Amid the sex scandals and bleak poll numbers, the establishment has let forth a not-so-subtle cry to Clinton: “Slay Queen!” However, I’m not there yet. I haven’t bought the narrative that this election is over and for good reason- Trump is still capable of turning the tide against Hillary.
FiveThirtyEight is giving Trump a 14% chance of winning the election. Nate Silver has been questioned left and right about why he is still giving Trump what is assumed too favorable odds to ascend to the nation’s highest office. Of course models are models, and he has built a conservative one that does not react as quickly as our drive by news cycle. In addition, a recent poll by ABC seems to indicate that a lack of enthusiasm for Trump AND Hillary is merely driving voters to support the other candidate. Can Trump siphon more votes away? Well, in order to do so he needs to follow this playbook: